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Red202
561467.4
333971.0
595164.9
Blue211
459064.4
223079.3
321130.6
92%Model gave it8%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218159100200250300202211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+13
Endgame+21
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave3
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points48
43Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +5
26Coral scored#30
93Coral points108
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
131Total teleop136
Reef
12L4#14
11L3#11
5L2#11
5L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
12Foul points0
202Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.01.5
63.662.1
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
blue by 8.3
79.33.3
72.075.3
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
Second
5614
#12
67.41.5
73.672.1
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
red by 3.0
64.43.3
51.755.0
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
Third
64.91.5
69.668.1
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 34.2
3211
#16
30.63.3
32.135.4
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned