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Red143
331639.6
673827.5
703965.8
Blue116
706721.8
466124.8
263073.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301216080100140160180200143116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points25
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points50
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
89Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#7
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
8Foul points6
143Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#11
65.81.2
55.256.4
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
blue by 7.4
2630
#22
73.20.0
68.568.5
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
Second
3316
#26
39.61.2
35.336.5
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
red by 14.8
4661
#35
24.80.0
22.422.4
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
Third
6738
#24
27.51.2
26.527.7
Auto12.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
red by 5.7
7067
#42
21.80.0
18.818.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned