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Red137
711242.7
571543.0
598757.0
Blue152
565428.4
822345.2
474461.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15113550100200250300137152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +12
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points63
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
87Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#8
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
137Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.00.6
54.353.7
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
blue by 4.2
4744
#10
61.11.6
51.853.4
Auto15.7
Teleop40.8
End4.6
Second
5715
#39
43.00.6
45.144.5
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End2.0
blue by 2.2
8223
#20
45.21.6
45.547.1
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Third
7112
#34
42.70.6
40.339.7
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
red by 14.3
5654
#40
28.41.6
30.832.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned