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Red99
306546.4
592832.5
157630.4
Blue123
513530.1
307553.9
458643.4
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113140608010016018020022099123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
17Coral scored#24
60Coral points85
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
86Total teleop103
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#8
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points0
99Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#25
46.40.8
42.641.8
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
blue by 7.5
3075
#28
53.90.2
51.150.8
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
Second
5928
#45
32.50.8
32.832.0
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
blue by 10.9
4586
#23
43.40.2
39.439.2
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End1.4
Third
1576
#38
30.40.8
27.526.7
Auto8.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
red by 0.4
5135
#32
30.10.2
30.930.6
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed