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Red220
1690101.5
974030.9
223177.4
Blue148
194268.4
555441.9
973828.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235129100150200250300220148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+68Teleop
+78Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
10Coral scored#8
49Coral points41
55Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +54
24Coral scored#13
85Coral points47
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#5
18Processor points18
36Net points20
54Algae points38
139Total teleop85
Reef
14L4#10
7L3#7
7L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points6
220Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.50.4
101.0100.6
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
red by 33.1
1942
#13
68.40.3
62.261.9
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
Second
77.40.4
78.978.5
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
red by 35.5
5554
#21
41.90.3
41.441.1
Auto12.1
Teleop26.2
End3.6
Third
9740
#44
30.90.4
28.728.4
Auto7.9
Teleop21.9
End1.1
red by 2.7
9738
#43
28.20.3
26.526.2
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned