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Red164
157753.5
209653.2
338823.8
Blue189
432051.8
817540.6
599084.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11817850100150200250164189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+39
Endgame+27
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
33Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +29
23Coral scored#28
81Coral points100
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
113Total teleop142
Reef
13L4#12
7L3#10
3L2#10
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#44
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
2Foul points0
164Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#15
53.52.5
41.444.0
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
blue by 31.3
84.81.2
76.277.4
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
Second
2096
#19
53.22.5
51.554.0
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End3.6
red by 1.3
4320
#29
51.81.2
43.044.2
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4
Third
3388
#36
23.82.5
22.925.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
blue by 16.8
8175
#37
40.61.2
43.144.3
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed