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Red169
157456.7
563552.5
674051.0
Blue150
193740.4
441630.8
784543.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1709950150200250169150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave9
8Coral scored#4
39Coral points21
42Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +23
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points66
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
24Processor points12
28Net points12
52Algae points24
113Total teleop90
Reef
13L4#8
4L3#4
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
169Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#30
56.70.7
55.055.7
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
red by 13.4
7845
#18
43.32.2
37.439.7
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Second
52.50.7
44.745.4
Auto12.5
Teleop31.5
End8.4
red by 12.1
1937
#27
40.42.2
39.541.8
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Third
6740
#14
51.00.7
47.748.4
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6
red by 20.2
4416
#31
30.82.2
22.124.3
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned