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Red121
565428.4
571543.0
610426.8
Blue139
673827.5
308343.3
433840.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161016080140160121139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave6
2Coral scored#8
9Coral points38
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +17
18Coral scored#13
64Coral points47
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
98Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
121Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#39
43.01.2
43.945.1
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End2.0
blue by 0.3
3083
#33
43.33.1
37.340.4
Auto6.8
Teleop34.6
End1.8
Second
5654
#40
28.41.2
29.630.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
blue by 12.0
4338
#17
40.43.1
32.335.4
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Third
6104
#41
26.81.2
29.430.6
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
blue by 0.7
6738
#24
27.53.1
23.426.5
Auto12.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned