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Red205
223079.3
474461.1
513530.1
Blue183
458643.4
459064.4
822345.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15513150100200250205183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
9Coral scored#6
47Coral points30
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
28Coral scored#29
100Coral points103
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
132Total teleop127
Reef
14L4#11
9L3#8
7L2#9
7L1 · trough#7
44Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
205Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.33.3
68.772.0
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
red by 14.9
64.42.9
48.851.7
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
Second
4744
#10
61.13.3
48.651.8
Auto15.7
Teleop40.8
End4.6
red by 15.9
8223
#20
45.22.9
42.645.5
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Third
5135
#32
30.13.3
27.630.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
blue by 13.4
4586
#23
43.42.9
36.539.4
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned