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Red124
307553.9
321130.6
973828.2
Blue197
592832.5
711242.7
595164.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10814250200250124197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+65
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +31
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
81Total teleop112
Reef
10L4#11
6L3#11
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points8
124Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#28
53.91.2
49.951.1
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
blue by 11.0
64.93.9
65.869.6
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
3211
#16
30.61.2
30.932.1
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
blue by 12.1
7112
#34
42.73.9
36.440.3
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
Third
9738
#43
28.21.2
25.326.5
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
blue by 4.3
5928
#45
32.53.9
29.032.8
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned