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Red156
306546.4
598757.0
703965.8
Blue243
817540.6
561467.4
1690101.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162237100150200250300156243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+45
Teleop+77
Endgame+89
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +45
6Leave3
3Coral scored#12
13Coral points61
19Total auto64
TeleoperatedBlue +32
21Coral scored#28
77Coral points101
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#7
12Processor points24
32Net points28
44Algae points52
121Total teleop153
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#9
4L2#14
4L1 · trough#7
34Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
2Foul points0
156Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#11
65.81.0
56.355.2
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
blue by 35.7
101.51.0
100.0101.0
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
Second
57.01.0
55.354.3
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
blue by 10.4
5614
#12
67.41.0
72.673.6
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
Third
3065
#25
46.41.0
43.642.6
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
red by 5.8
8175
#37
40.61.0
42.243.1
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned