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Red190
333971.0
703965.8
565428.4
Blue151
307553.9
673827.5
223079.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160161150170180190190151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points39
44Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points65
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
18Processor points6
32Net points8
50Algae points14
120Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#8
9L3#7
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
190Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.02.6
62.164.7
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
blue by 8.3
79.30.2
75.375.1
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
Second
7039
#11
65.82.6
56.459.0
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
red by 11.9
3075
#28
53.90.2
50.850.6
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
Third
5654
#40
28.42.6
32.435.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
red by 0.9
6738
#24
27.50.2
27.727.5
Auto12.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned