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Red114
263073.2
974030.9
193740.4
Blue123
458643.4
595164.9
817540.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145164100120180200220240114123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points31
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points47
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
6Processor points18
20Net points12
26Algae points30
87Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
114Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#22
73.21.7
69.567.8
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
red by 8.4
64.92.4
68.065.6
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
1937
#27
40.41.7
40.438.8
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
blue by 3.0
4586
#23
43.42.4
40.237.8
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End1.4
Third
9740
#44
30.91.7
29.027.4
Auto7.9
Teleop21.9
End1.1
blue by 9.7
8175
#37
40.62.4
44.442.0
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsMissed