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Red138
223177.4
592832.5
466124.8
Blue191
561467.4
563552.5
598757.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142197100250138191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+41
Teleop+15
Endgame+35
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +41
6Leave9
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points41
9Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +26
22Coral scored#19
79Coral points69
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
113Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#11
8L3#8
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points18
138Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.40.4
79.780.1
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
red by 10.0
5614
#12
67.40.0
70.870.8
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
Second
5928
#45
32.50.4
31.231.5
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
blue by 24.4
57.00.0
55.155.1
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
Third
4661
#35
24.80.4
21.822.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
blue by 27.7
52.50.0
46.946.9
Auto12.5
Teleop31.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned