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Red186
674051.0
433840.4
474461.1
Blue84
513530.1
338823.8
157456.7
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15311910020018684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+76Teleop
+100Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points24
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +72
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points41
3Processor algae#0
9Net algae#2
18Processor points0
36Net points8
54Algae points8
121Total teleop49
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#18
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
2Foul points0
186Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4744
#10
61.13.0
54.857.8
Auto15.7
Teleop40.8
End4.6
red by 4.4
1574
#30
56.71.8
54.953.0
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
6740
#14
51.03.0
47.550.5
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6
red by 21.0
5135
#32
30.11.8
29.928.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
Third
4338
#17
40.43.0
36.639.6
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
red by 16.6
3388
#36
23.81.8
26.925.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed