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Red122
209653.2
157630.4
331639.6
Blue70
565428.4
711242.7
673827.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131105608012014016018020012270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
64Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
12Foul points6
122Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#19
53.20.7
55.054.4
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End3.6
red by 10.5
7112
#34
42.72.5
39.136.6
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
Second
3316
#26
39.60.7
37.236.5
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
red by 11.2
5654
#40
28.42.5
35.032.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
Third
1576
#38
30.40.7
27.727.0
Auto8.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
red by 2.9
6738
#24
27.52.5
27.525.0
Auto12.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed