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Red185
321130.6
1690101.5
194268.4
Blue227
459064.4
599084.8
307553.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209187150200250185227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+34
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
12Coral scored#12
58Coral points62
58Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +29
20Coral scored#29
71Coral points104
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
24Processor points12
16Net points24
40Algae points36
111Total teleop140
Reef
12L4#13
11L3#13
5L2#10
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#49
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points8
185Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.50.8
99.798.9
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
red by 16.7
84.82.4
76.879.3
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
Second
1942
#13
68.40.8
63.162.3
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
red by 4.0
64.42.4
54.957.3
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
Third
3211
#16
30.60.8
34.033.2
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
blue by 23.3
3075
#28
53.92.4
50.653.1
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned