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Red110
466124.8
784543.3
513530.1
Blue112
338823.8
974030.9
598757.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10012550150200110112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points19
24Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
64Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points12
110Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#18
43.30.4
39.839.4
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
blue by 13.6
57.01.7
55.153.4
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
Second
5135
#32
30.10.4
28.127.7
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
blue by 0.9
9740
#44
30.91.7
27.425.7
Auto7.9
Teleop21.9
End1.1
Third
4661
#35
24.80.4
22.221.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
red by 1.1
3388
#36
23.81.7
25.123.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed