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Red206
563552.5
263073.2
157753.5
Blue139
973828.2
223079.3
592832.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178139100150200250206139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+55Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
6Leave0
9Coral scored#4
43Coral points20
49Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +26
27Coral scored#19
97Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
131Total teleop105
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#7
7L2#4
8L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
206Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#22
73.22.5
67.870.4
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
blue by 6.0
79.30.2
75.074.8
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
Second
1577
#15
53.52.5
45.047.5
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
red by 21.0
5928
#45
32.50.2
31.531.3
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
Third
52.52.5
46.949.5
Auto12.5
Teleop31.5
End8.4
red by 24.3
9738
#43
28.20.2
26.626.5
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned