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Qual 482025 FIRST Israel District Championship
Red129
817540.6
610426.8
157456.7
Blue141
571543.0
193740.4
223177.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126184100150200250129141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points31
34Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
89Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
129Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#30
56.70.4
56.3→56.7
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
blue by 20.7
2231
#4
77.41.7
79.5→77.8
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
Second
8175
#37
40.60.4
40.2→40.6
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
blue by 2.4
5715
#39
43.01.7
44.7→43.0
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End2.0
Third
6104
#41
26.80.4
26.4→26.8
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
blue by 13.6
1937
#27
40.41.7
42.1→40.4
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned