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Red96
432051.8
441630.8
706721.8
Blue147
321130.6
784543.3
817540.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74110020406010012014016096147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+43
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
32Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +51
13Coral scored#20
46Coral points73
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
60Total teleop111
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points6
96Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#29
51.80.1
37.737.8
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4
red by 8.5
7845
#18
43.31.6
33.935.5
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Second
4416
#31
30.80.1
22.622.7
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
blue by 9.8
8175
#37
40.61.6
42.043.6
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
Third
7067
#42
21.80.1
16.516.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End2.9
blue by 8.8
3211
#16
30.61.6
25.527.2
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned