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Red147
610426.8
209653.2
973828.2
Blue165
703965.8
338823.8
561467.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9316150150200147165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+30
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
21Coral scored#20
77Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
12Processor points12
12Net points32
24Algae points44
101Total teleop116
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
12Foul points0
147Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#19
53.22.0
45.747.7
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End3.6
blue by 14.2
5614
#12
67.40.9
69.770.6
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
Second
9738
#43
28.22.0
24.726.7
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
blue by 37.6
7039
#11
65.80.9
52.653.5
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
Third
6104
#41
26.82.0
23.325.3
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
red by 3.1
3388
#36
23.80.9
18.419.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned