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Red224
157753.5
711242.7
223079.3
Blue111
610426.8
598757.0
308343.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178127100150200250224111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+91Teleop
+103Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points18
51Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +67
28Coral scored#14
99Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
137Total teleop70
Reef
11L4#9
15L3#3
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +113
10Foul points0
224Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.33.4
74.878.2
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
red by 22.3
57.01.1
53.452.3
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
Second
1577
#15
53.53.4
47.550.9
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
red by 10.3
3083
#33
43.31.1
41.740.6
Auto6.8
Teleop34.6
End1.8
Third
7112
#34
42.73.4
37.741.2
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
red by 15.9
6104
#41
26.81.1
29.728.6
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned