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Red103
331639.6
817540.6
338823.8
Blue218
1690101.5
822345.2
563552.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9822950150200250300103218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+91
Endgame+115
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave9
3Coral scored#9
16Coral points47
25Total auto56
TeleoperatedBlue +60
13Coral scored#31
48Coral points112
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
76Total teleop136
Reef
5L4#17
5L3#10
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#6
22Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points0
103Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8175
#37
40.60.1
42.042.1
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
blue by 60.8
101.51.5
98.9100.4
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
Second
3316
#26
39.60.1
36.536.6
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
blue by 12.9
52.51.5
49.551.0
Auto12.5
Teleop31.5
End8.4
Third
3388
#36
23.80.1
23.423.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
blue by 21.4
8223
#20
45.21.5
47.048.5
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned