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Red243
441630.8
333971.0
459064.4
Blue210
157630.4
599084.8
703965.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15717980100120140200220240243210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
10Coral scored#9
52Coral points45
61Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +15
29Coral scored#28
106Coral points101
6Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
36Processor points18
16Net points24
52Algae points42
158Total teleop143
Reef
14L4#18
11L3#8
6L2#6
8L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#46
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points2
243Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.05.3
61.767.0
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
blue by 13.8
84.81.6
79.380.9
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
Second
64.45.3
57.362.6
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
blue by 1.4
7039
#11
65.81.6
59.060.5
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
Third
4416
#31
30.85.3
24.329.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
red by 0.4
1576
#38
30.41.6
27.028.6
Auto8.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned