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Red167
474461.1
561467.4
673827.5
Blue141
674051.0
307553.9
555441.9
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162146100200250167141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+4Teleop
+24Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
88Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#7
9L3#5
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points0
167Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#12
67.40.6
70.871.4
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
red by 13.5
3075
#28
53.90.3
53.152.8
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
Second
4744
#10
61.10.6
57.858.3
Auto15.7
Teleop40.8
End4.6
red by 10.1
6740
#14
51.00.3
50.550.2
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6
Third
6738
#24
27.50.6
25.025.6
Auto12.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 14.4
5554
#21
41.90.3
39.439.1
Auto12.1
Teleop26.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed