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Red188
306546.4
194268.4
595164.9
Blue70
209653.2
565428.4
321130.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18812610015020025018870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+94Teleop
+108Endgame
+118Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave3
10Coral scored#4
52Coral points20
58Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +59
20Coral scored#6
72Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
96Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#3
10L3#4
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +118
18Foul points8
188Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#13
68.40.4
62.361.8
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
red by 15.2
2096
#19
53.24.4
54.450.0
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End3.6
Second
64.90.4
65.665.2
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 34.2
3211
#16
30.64.4
33.228.8
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Third
3065
#25
46.40.4
39.839.3
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
red by 18.0
5654
#40
28.44.4
32.528.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed