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Red192
194268.4
307553.9
561467.4
Blue177
263073.2
784543.3
433840.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197157100120140180220240260192177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
10Coral scored#8
48Coral points39
54Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +5
22Coral scored#21
78Coral points75
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
118Total teleop113
Reef
8L4#11
11L3#8
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
4Foul points0
192Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#13
68.40.1
61.862.0
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
blue by 4.9
2630
#22
73.21.7
70.472.1
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
Second
5614
#12
67.40.1
71.471.5
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
red by 24.0
7845
#18
43.31.7
39.441.2
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Third
3075
#28
53.90.1
52.852.9
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
red by 13.5
4338
#17
40.41.7
41.142.8
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned