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Red160
458643.4
466124.8
306546.4
Blue190
973828.2
674051.0
333971.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11417250100150200250160190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+16
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points42
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +5
21Coral scored#26
74Coral points95
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
24Processor points18
32Net points12
56Algae points30
130Total teleop125
Reef
7L4#8
9L3#11
7L2#8
3L1 · trough#7
38Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
160Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#25
46.43.0
39.342.4
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
blue by 24.6
71.02.2
67.069.2
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
Second
4586
#23
43.43.0
39.442.4
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End1.4
blue by 7.6
6740
#14
51.02.2
50.252.4
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6
Third
4661
#35
24.83.0
21.824.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
blue by 3.4
9738
#43
28.22.2
26.528.6
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned