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Red234
595164.9
1690101.5
193740.4
Blue175
432051.8
474461.1
157630.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225135100150200250300234175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+45Teleop
+67Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +41
27Coral scored#21
98Coral points77
6Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
36Processor points12
20Net points24
56Algae points36
154Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#11
7L3#8
11L2#4
8L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#36
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points8
234Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.51.2
100.4101.7
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
red by 40.3
4744
#10
61.11.5
58.359.9
Auto15.7
Teleop40.8
End4.6
Second
64.91.2
65.266.4
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 13.1
4320
#29
51.81.5
48.449.9
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4
Third
1937
#27
40.41.2
38.840.0
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
red by 10.0
1576
#38
30.41.5
28.630.1
Auto8.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned