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Red180
822345.2
673827.5
599084.8
Blue178
974030.9
703965.8
157456.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166148100120140180200220180178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+24Teleop
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave9
12Coral scored#8
59Coral points38
62Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +9
22Coral scored#22
78Coral points79
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
12Processor points6
24Net points20
36Algae points26
114Total teleop105
Reef
13L4#10
7L3#9
5L2#6
9L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
180Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.81.7
80.982.5
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
red by 19.0
7039
#11
65.82.5
60.563.0
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
Second
8223
#20
45.21.7
48.550.1
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6
blue by 11.5
1574
#30
56.72.5
53.055.5
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Third
6738
#24
27.51.7
25.627.2
Auto12.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 3.4
9740
#44
30.92.5
25.728.1
Auto7.9
Teleop21.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned