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Red160
674051.0
209653.2
784543.3
Blue233
223079.3
263073.2
333971.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14423750100200300350160233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+67
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +33
22Coral scored#34
78Coral points123
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
18Processor points18
28Net points16
46Algae points34
124Total teleop157
Reef
11L4#18
7L3#9
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points6
160Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#19
53.21.1
50.051.1
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End3.6
blue by 26.1
79.30.5
78.278.7
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
Second
6740
#14
51.01.1
52.453.5
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6
blue by 22.2
2630
#22
73.20.5
72.172.6
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
Third
7845
#18
43.31.1
41.242.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
blue by 27.7
71.00.5
69.269.7
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned