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Red163
306546.4
331639.6
307553.9
Blue117
441630.8
338823.8
571543.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15511150100200163117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +45
24Coral scored#14
88Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
126Total teleop81
Reef
12L4#5
8L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points4
163Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#28
53.90.9
52.953.8
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
red by 10.9
5715
#39
43.00.1
44.844.6
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End2.0
Second
3065
#25
46.40.9
42.443.3
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
red by 15.6
4416
#31
30.80.1
30.029.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
Third
3316
#26
39.60.9
37.038.0
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
red by 15.8
3388
#36
23.80.1
23.423.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned