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Red91
817540.6
565428.4
433840.4
Blue117
474461.1
973828.2
466124.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912910011012014091117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
14Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
63Total teleop94
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
91Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8175
#37
40.62.0
42.140.1
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
blue by 20.5
4744
#10
61.10.4
59.959.5
Auto15.7
Teleop40.8
End4.6
Second
4338
#17
40.42.0
42.840.8
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
red by 12.2
9738
#43
28.20.4
28.628.3
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
Third
5654
#40
28.42.0
28.726.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
red by 3.6
4661
#35
24.80.4
24.824.4
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned