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Red184
193740.4
703965.8
711242.7
Blue177
157753.5
306546.4
513530.1
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162134100150200250184177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+15
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +33
20Coral scored#23
72Coral points83
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#6
12Processor points30
20Net points24
32Algae points54
104Total teleop137
Reef
7L4#8
10L3#8
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#39
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
184Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#11
65.82.2
63.065.1
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
red by 12.3
1577
#15
53.53.2
50.954.1
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
Second
7112
#34
42.72.2
40.442.6
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
blue by 3.7
3065
#25
46.43.2
43.346.4
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
Third
1937
#27
40.42.2
40.042.2
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
red by 10.4
5135
#32
30.13.2
26.930.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned