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Red142
563552.5
433840.4
571543.0
Blue223
333971.0
194268.4
209653.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146202100250142223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+75
Endgame+77
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave6
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points45
28Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +52
18Coral scored#27
66Coral points96
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
18Processor points24
16Net points32
34Algae points56
100Total teleop152
Reef
10L4#12
7L3#14
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points4
142Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.0
53.253.2
Auto12.5
Teleop31.5
End8.4
blue by 18.5
71.02.1
69.771.8
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
Second
5715
#39
43.00.0
44.644.7
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End2.0
blue by 25.4
1942
#13
68.42.1
64.266.3
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
Third
4338
#17
40.40.0
40.840.8
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
blue by 12.8
2096
#19
53.22.1
51.153.2
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned