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Red160
466124.8
223079.3
308343.3
Blue120
555441.9
817540.6
157630.4
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16512380100140180200220240160120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +20
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points55
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
103Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#8
8L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
8Foul points6
160Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.30.4
78.779.1
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
red by 37.3
5554
#21
41.90.1
41.841.9
Auto12.1
Teleop26.2
End3.6
Second
3083
#33
43.30.4
42.943.3
Auto6.8
Teleop34.6
End1.8
red by 2.6
8175
#37
40.60.1
40.140.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
Third
4661
#35
24.80.4
24.424.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
blue by 5.6
1576
#38
30.40.1
30.330.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed