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Red135
338823.8
263073.2
565428.4
Blue153
157456.7
321130.6
432051.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314980100120140160180200135153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +30
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points55
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
0Processor points12
12Net points28
12Algae points40
65Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#6
7L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
135Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#22
73.20.5
72.673.1
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
red by 16.5
1574
#30
56.70.6
55.756.3
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
5654
#40
28.40.5
26.627.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
blue by 23.4
4320
#29
51.80.6
52.052.6
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4
Third
3388
#36
23.80.5
23.323.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
blue by 6.9
3211
#16
30.60.6
29.830.5
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned