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Red131
974030.9
592832.5
307553.9
Blue162
1690101.5
674051.0
610426.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11420650100150250131162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +9
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
91Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#13
4L3#4
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
4Foul points2
131Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#28
53.90.7
53.854.6
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
blue by 47.5
101.51.5
101.7100.1
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
Second
5928
#45
32.50.7
31.832.5
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
blue by 18.5
6740
#14
51.01.5
53.551.9
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End4.6
Third
9740
#44
30.90.7
30.230.9
Auto7.9
Teleop21.9
End1.1
red by 4.1
6104
#41
26.81.5
28.026.4
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned