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Red159
193740.4
973828.2
599084.8
Blue163
598757.0
459064.4
706721.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172151100120140160180200220159163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +27
9Leave6
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points34
13Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +21
24Coral scored#20
86Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
126Total teleop105
Reef
12L4#9
4L3#9
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points2
159Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.80.1
83.583.5
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
red by 20.4
64.41.6
63.465.0
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
Second
1937
#27
40.40.1
42.242.1
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
blue by 16.6
57.01.6
53.354.9
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
Third
9738
#43
28.20.1
28.328.2
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
red by 6.4
7067
#42
21.81.6
20.221.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned