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Red145
157753.5
822345.2
561467.4
Blue152
595164.9
673827.5
441630.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194127100150250145152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave9
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points37
51Total auto46
TeleoperatedBlue +6
16Coral scored#19
58Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
80Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#9
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
145Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#12
67.42.6
70.768.1
Auto21.0
Teleop37.5
End8.8
red by 2.5
64.90.9
64.865.7
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
1577
#15
53.52.6
54.151.4
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
red by 22.7
4416
#31
30.80.9
29.930.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
Third
8223
#20
45.22.6
48.545.9
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6
red by 17.7
6738
#24
27.50.9
26.627.5
Auto12.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned