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Red252
1690101.5
157753.5
459064.4
Blue155
571543.0
333971.0
466124.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19812550100150250252155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+77Teleop
+99Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave0
11Coral scored#8
53Coral points40
62Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +55
28Coral scored#25
100Coral points91
4Processor algae#1
10Net algae#3
24Processor points6
40Net points12
64Algae points18
164Total teleop109
Reef
16L4#14
10L3#10
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
53Game pieces#37
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points2
252Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.54.3
95.9100.2
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
red by 30.5
71.01.3
59.460.7
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
Second
64.44.3
44.548.8
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
red by 21.4
5715
#39
43.01.3
40.641.8
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End2.0
Third
1577
#15
53.54.3
33.237.6
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
red by 28.7
4661
#35
24.81.3
19.721.0
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed