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Red135
157630.4
223177.4
263073.2
Blue135
433840.4
599084.8
306546.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193159100150250135135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points37
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
57Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#6
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
24Foul points2
135Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.4
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
blue by 7.4
84.8
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
Second
2630
#22
73.2
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
red by 26.8
3065
#25
46.4
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
Third
1576
#38
30.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
blue by 10.0
4338
#17
40.4
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned