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Red196
592811.4
169072.8
561465.4
Blue145
263050.5
623013.8
595155.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16111850100150200250196145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+49Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
11Coral scored#8
55Coral points38
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +35
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points59
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
112Total teleop77
Reef
12L4#8
11L3#7
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
196Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.81.1
71.772.8
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 17.8
55.00.6
54.455.0
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
Second
65.41.1
64.365.4
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 14.9
50.50.6
49.850.5
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
Third
5928
#26
11.41.1
10.211.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 2.4
6230
#20
13.80.6
13.213.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5