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Red211
592811.4
169072.8
561465.4
Blue147
263050.5
194312.4
595155.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15611550100200250211147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+56Teleop
+58Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +35
18Coral scored#21
66Coral points75
5Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
30Processor points6
32Net points12
62Algae points18
128Total teleop93
Reef
11L4#12
7L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +64
6Foul points0
211Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.81.4
70.371.7
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 17.8
55.00.7
53.754.4
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
Second
65.41.4
62.964.3
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 14.9
50.50.7
49.149.8
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
Third
5928
#26
11.41.4
8.810.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 1.1
1943
#24
12.40.7
11.712.4
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End-0.1