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Red132
263050.5
595155.0
194243.3
Blue45
673825.6
610420.1
717716.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11056010015020013245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+73Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave6
8Coral scored#0
41Coral points0
41Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points27
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
75Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points0
132Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.04.1
33.938.0
Auto14.1
Teleop30.6
End10.3
red by 29.4
6738
#12
25.61.4
29.327.9
Auto5.5
Teleop19.2
End0.9
Second
50.54.1
35.639.7
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
red by 30.4
6104
#27
20.11.4
14.312.9
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
43.34.1
25.329.4
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 26.5
7177
#25
16.91.4
11.39.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed