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Red116
308325.0
169072.8
706717.8
Blue94
817529.0
973822.5
209641.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096905015020011694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#19
48Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
72Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
116Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.82.4
54.857.1
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 31.1
2096
#13
41.73.1
27.330.5
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
Second
3083
#11
25.02.4
18.420.7
Auto2.9
Teleop20.7
End1.4
blue by 4.0
8175
#15
29.03.1
22.425.5
Auto4.0
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Third
7067
#22
17.82.4
18.621.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
blue by 4.7
9738
#17
22.53.1
13.416.6
Auto1.7
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed