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Red64
306538.2
466116.7
93036.7
Blue79
194312.4
561465.4
441618.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68790501001506479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
42Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
12Foul points16
64Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#16
38.22.0
32.530.5
Auto6.0
Teleop31.1
End1.1
blue by 27.1
65.41.3
35.334.0
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
Second
16.72.0
15.913.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
blue by 1.5
4416
#10
18.21.3
14.513.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Third
9303
#29
6.72.0
12.410.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
blue by 5.8
1943
#24
12.41.3
17.115.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned