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Red82
431915.5
263050.5
592811.4
Blue61
433824.7
157737.9
930412.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74970501502008261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+11Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points9
24Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
40Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points6
82Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.8
34.835.6
Auto15.6
Teleop27.6
End7.3
red by 12.6
37.93.2
41.638.4
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End2.0
Second
4319
#21
15.50.8
17.918.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End1.6
blue by 9.2
4338
#14
24.73.2
23.220.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Third
5928
#26
11.40.8
16.016.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 0.6
9304
#19
12.03.2
18.915.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned