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Red65
194243.3
433824.7
706717.8
Blue28
466116.7
930412.0
441618.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834401001502006528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
48Total teleop16
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points2
65Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.3
29.428.2
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 25.2
4416
#10
18.21.9
13.211.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Second
4338
#14
24.71.3
20.018.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
red by 8.0
16.71.9
13.912.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Third
7067
#22
17.81.3
21.019.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
red by 5.9
9304
#19
12.01.9
15.813.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed